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The Blank Swan: The End of Probability Elie Ayache
Publisher: Wiley

Elie Ayache's book, "The Blank Swan," has been hailed by one reviewer as "a joke…written in pseudo-philosophical jargon. And that is a sufficiently small probability for us to ignore. The Black Swan event, or USSSA event, is then detected by understanding the anomalies between the normal predictable traffic to the other wise fraud. To this end, the justice sector was, wisely, partially exempted from the political isolation law, thanks to back-channel negotiations just prior to the law's passage. The likely time-scales cannot be short compared to the past record, And that means that the likelihood of the world ending before tomorrow dawns is less than one-in-a-trillion. Jul 23, 2013 - Three Black Swans Libya's “black swans” are low-probability events that nonetheless occurred, subsequently defining its post-Arab Spring trajectory. The first black swan was that Libya even had a successful revolution. I have included further commentary at the end that I could not include in this first piece. Jan 6, 2014 - This sequence could come to an end in a “black swan” event; the laws of physics could suddenly change, or the Earth could collide with a wandering planet big enough to destroy it. After the first wave of uprisings began in . May 1, 2011 - The Blank Swan: The End of Probability By Elie Ayache Wiley, 2010 $39.95, 476 pages. The realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology; The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities) Be it PBX fraud or mobile fraud, the end consumer will need to pay the bill at the end. What are the likely time-scales for such events? May 25, 2014 - For those who do not have access to the Knoxville News Sentinel, I have posted my article from this weekend here for discussion.